Description

This analysis provides a forecast of DOT prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2026-01-04 1.688457 1.772602 1.859451 1.955970 2.060451 2.170373 2.295071
2026-01-11 1.570081 1.693934 1.827341 1.982499 2.158984 2.354676 2.589751
2026-01-18 1.487118 1.639623 1.809645 2.014992 2.258682 2.541753 2.900161
2026-01-25 1.398483 1.567983 1.762104 2.003749 2.300670 2.659395 3.134957
2026-02-01 1.312856 1.491487 1.700471 1.967036 2.304109 2.725070 3.305870
2026-02-08 1.222546 1.402623 1.616704 1.894901 2.254606 2.715778 3.373002
2026-02-15 1.162354 1.346113 1.567952 1.861479 2.249409 2.760002 3.512152
2026-02-22 1.119602 1.308234 1.539335 1.850521 2.270753 2.838600 3.703933
2026-03-01 1.073781 1.263935 1.499752 1.821966 2.265098 2.877573 3.839088
2026-03-08 1.012235 1.197037 1.427995 1.746539 2.189821 2.811630 3.807303
2026-03-15 0.984790 1.172499 1.409759 1.741550 2.211446 2.885445 3.997899
2026-03-22 0.980576 1.177468 1.429918 1.789238 2.309813 3.078712 4.400626
2026-03-29 0.945677 1.143123 1.399134 1.768646 2.313827 3.138546 4.605573
2026-04-05 0.924123 1.125852 1.390911 1.779936 2.366733 3.280977 4.978891
2026-04-12 0.907762 1.114790 1.390539 1.802337 2.438095 3.460461 5.451757
2026-04-19 0.881163 1.088688 1.367978 1.790660 2.455141 3.550835 5.769368
2026-04-26 0.849952 1.055051 1.333303 1.758830 2.437426 3.579123 5.965533
2026-05-03 0.811485 1.010124 1.280915 1.697648 2.368020 3.509888 5.944513
2026-05-10 0.785496 0.981694 1.251014 1.669254 2.350587 3.532289 6.127346
2026-05-17 0.766867 0.962890 1.234150 1.659918 2.363965 3.611853 6.453302
2026-05-24 0.744950 0.938748 1.208613 1.635728 2.350362 3.639101 6.661265
2026-05-31 0.712577 0.898973 1.159043 1.571741 2.264841 3.521686 6.497341
2026-06-07 0.698896 0.885392 1.147501 1.567494 2.282718 3.606849 6.857620